Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 2019.036998 2200.970811 2386.670579 2590.107282 2806.418555 3029.264758 3275.907020
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1751.322376 2021.545468 2308.983794 2636.371155 2997.776268 3383.411280 3824.856893
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1554.081955 1873.087865 2223.027536 2633.084269 3098.039479 3606.526315 4202.253413
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1388.151611 1737.425807 2130.903613 2603.237806 3150.935806 3762.170433 4491.881555
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1284.949266 1661.907895 2096.432287 2628.840939 3257.891201 3971.783265 4837.279262
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1183.893388 1579.465333 2045.369057 2627.162445 3326.460836 4132.205090 5122.636765
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1123.259908 1540.376322 2041.053909 2676.676152 3452.040776 4357.053062 5482.558494
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1036.924080 1462.967188 1984.396369 2657.537263 3490.933556 4476.274445 5715.875845
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 996.772391 1440.865066 1993.421665 2716.842359 3623.602457 4707.122221 6083.162841
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 941.696523 1395.630819 1970.026196 2732.806524 3700.801948 4869.783430 6368.287466
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 886.027055 1346.077290 1937.974209 2735.001077 3758.663660 5007.514117 6622.772334
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 799.424984 1249.843190 1840.531508 2648.612248 3700.607359 4998.723098 6694.471177
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 784.169548 1251.691602 1873.293445 2733.298285 3863.642010 5269.627923 7119.069346
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 756.179525 1234.123122 1878.947640 2781.760794 3980.327228 5483.652807 7475.423367
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 711.880163 1190.707118 1847.195928 2778.333916 4027.983501 5609.491543 7721.044818
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 661.575268 1135.691560 1796.803649 2747.246495 4037.181950 5684.767922 7901.917401
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 633.935234 1112.556943 1789.556314 2773.914407 4122.395061 5857.917772 8208.571530
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 599.276463 1076.898841 1762.834417 2772.166186 4168.439638 5979.787734 8449.679912
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 583.086660 1068.574940 1774.611609 2823.732188 4286.640540 6196.665578 8815.259505
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 547.064299 1027.380707 1736.840951 2803.801126 4306.116853 6282.973433 9011.026239
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 536.344959 1025.604446 1756.572571 2865.556398 4438.079640 6519.008358 9404.242893
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 513.932560 1003.786599 1745.460421 2882.177866 4507.169788 6671.480378 9688.544542
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 489.083701 976.651537 1725.165300 2884.462702 4555.603533 6796.129691 9936.619529